East Asia
ISciences staff
East Asia: Deficits continue in NW China, ...

Exceptional deficits will remain in northwestern China, while regions of the Yangtze River Basin will observe an expansion of exceptional deficits across the region. 

East Asia: Deficits continue in NW China, Yangtze River Basin
South Asia
ISciences staff
South Asia: Deficits spread in Afghanistan, ...

Extreme to exceptional surpluses in India will resolve, leaving moderate surpluses in central and eastern portions of the country. Deficits are expected to spread in portions of Afghanistan, Pakistan, and northern India. 

South Asia: Deficits spread in Afghanistan, Pakistan, N India
Southeast Asia & Pacific
ISciences staff
Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Deficits ...

Extreme to exceptional surpluses in Maritime Southeast Asia will diminish, though some regions will observe continuing severe to extreme surpluses. Isolated regions in Mainland Southeast Asia will observe exceptional deficits. 

Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Deficits persist in Laos, Vietnam
Central Asia & Russia
ISciences staff
Central Asia & Russia: Deficits persist in ...

Widespread surpluses in southwestern Russia will mostly diminish. Exceptional deficits are expected in portions of the Urals, European Russia, northern coastal Russia, and in regions east of Lake Baikal. 

Central Asia & Russia: Deficits persist in European Russia, Urals, Buryatia
Australia & New Zealand
ISciences staff
Australia & New Zealand: Severe, ...

Severe to exceptional deficits along the southern coast of Australia will dissipate, though some will continue in Victoria and New Zealand. Severe to exceptional surpluses will continue in Queensland. 

Australia & New Zealand: Severe, exceptional surpluses continue in Queensland

Narmada River

South Asia: Intense deficits forecast for Madhya Pradesh & N Telangana

South Asia: Intense deficits forecast for Madhya Pradesh & N Telangana

Intense water deficits are forecast through June 2018 in India’s central state of Madhya Pradesh. In the near-term, through December, severe to exceptional deficits are forecast for central states, and moderate deficits will extend north. Gujarat will transition to conditions of both deficit and surplus. Exceptional surpluses are forecast for Tripura, Mizoram, and Manipur, but surpluses are expected to recede in other northeastern states and in West Bengal. Surpluses of varying severity are forecast for Nepal and western Bhutan. Primarily moderate deficits are forecast for Pakistan and western Afghanistan.

South Asia: Intense deficits forecast for central India, surpluses Bangladesh

South Asia: Intense deficits forecast for central India, surpluses Bangladesh

A relatively consistent pattern of water anomalies is forecast from September through May characterized by exceptional deficits in central India and surpluses in Bangladesh, Nepal, and far eastern India. In the near-term, intense deficits are forecast in Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh trailing west, east, and south. Deficits are also forecast in Karnataka, Goa, coastal Maharashtra, and southwestern Afghanistan and Pakistan. Exceptional surpluses will continue to emerge in Bangladesh, Tripura, and Mizoram. Some severe surpluses are forecast to emerge near Bengaluru, Karnataka. After November, severe to extreme deficits are forecast to emerge in Arunachal Pradesh.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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