Baluchistan

South Asia: Water surpluses in India will shrink

South Asia: Water surpluses in India will shrink

The forecast through September indicates water surpluses in India’s southern half and West Bengal, Bangladesh, central Nepal, and Sri Lanka. Deficits will shrink in India’s Far Northeast. Exceptional deficits are forecast in Baluchistan Province, Pakistan reaching into Afghanistan.

South Asia: Intense water deficits will increase in Afghanistan

South Asia: Intense water deficits will increase in Afghanistan

Through September, exceptional water deficits will increase in Afghanistan, reaching the southern border to dominate roughly two-thirds of the country. Deficits in southern Pakistan are expected to shrink and moderate; moderate surpluses are forecast along the Indus River in the north. In India, primarily moderate deficits will persist in a wide band across the center of the country, but may be more intense in Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, and Odisha. Deficits will increase and intensify in southern India. Surpluses in Bangladesh will shrink and downgrade.

South Asia: Exceptional water deficits will persist in Afghanistan

South Asia: Exceptional water deficits will persist in Afghanistan

Exceptional water deficits are forecast to persist in Afghanistan, retreating slightly in the north but increasing in the south. Pakistan should get a reprieve as intense deficits diminish considerably, leaving moderate to severe conditions in western Baluchistan. India will transition out of widespread deficit to milder conditions, with moderate deficits in the south and more severe deficits in the Far Northeast, particularly Assam. Surpluses will downgrade to moderate in West Bengal, and will shrink and downgrade in Bangladesh while remaining fairly intense, especially in Dhaka Division.

South Asia: Intense water deficits will remain widespread in Afghanistan

South Asia: Intense water deficits will remain widespread in Afghanistan

Exceptional water deficits will remain widespread in Afghanistan, while decreasing slightly. Deficits in Pakistan will generally moderate. India will transition from widespread water deficits to milder conditions. However, exceptional deficits are forecast surrounding Chandigarh, moderate deficits in Rajasthan, and intense deficits in the Far Northeast. Surpluses are expected in Jammu and Kashmir, northern Odisha, West Bengal, and along the Tapi River. Intense surpluses are forecast for the Gandaki River in Nepal. Moderate to extreme surpluses are forecast for northern Bangladesh.