In this new series, we examine recent prolonged drought in the Yangtze River Basin, its impact on the affected regions, and the historical accuracy of the Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM) forecasts in East Asia.
Exceptional deficits will spread throughout the Russian Plain, northern coastal Russia, and regions near Lake Baikal. Surpluses are expected in some portions of northern Russia and north-central Kazakhstan.
Severe to exceptional deficits will occur throughout most of eastern Europe. Severe to exceptional surpluses in western Europe are expected to dissipate.
The forecast indicates that severe to exceptional deficits will resolve throughout much of Southeast Asia. Exceptional surpluses are expected to persist in some countries within Mainland Southeast Asia.
The forecast indicates that most exceptional anomalies in both Mainland and Maritime Southeast Asia will diminish. Exceptional surpluses will persist in regions of Myanmar and Indonesia.
The forecast indicates that most extreme to exceptional deficits in the region will dissipate, as well as most extreme to exceptional surpluses. Moderate to severe surpluses are expected to expand throughout Papua and Papua New Guinea, as well as southern Myanmar.
The forecast indicates that severe to exceptional surpluses will continue in central and eastern regions of Maritime Southeast Asia. Pockets of severe to exceptional deficits are expected to spread across most of Mainland Southeast Asia.
The forecast indicates that intense surpluses will continue throughout Maritime Southeast Asia, while exceptional deficits will remain in several areas of Mainland Southeast Asia.