In this new series, we examine recent prolonged drought in the Yangtze River Basin, its impact on the affected regions, and the historical accuracy of the Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM) forecasts in East Asia.
Exceptional deficits will spread throughout the Russian Plain, northern coastal Russia, and regions near Lake Baikal. Surpluses are expected in some portions of northern Russia and north-central Kazakhstan.
Severe to exceptional deficits will occur throughout most of eastern Europe. Severe to exceptional surpluses in western Europe are expected to dissipate.
With the release of WSIM v3 and 8 years of additional data, we reevaluate drought risk in the Amazon and the historic drought that continue to affect the region.
The forecast ending in June 2025 indicates that exceptional deficits widespread throughout South America will persist in the Amazon and in the Bolivarian Nations. Several coastal regions of Brazil will also experience exceptional deficits.
The forecast indicates that while exceptional deficits will diminish in some portions of South America, they will remain widespread throughout much of the Amazon Rainforest. Deficits will similarly endure in eastern and southern regions of Brazil, as well as in parts of the Bolivarian Nations.
The forecast indicates that while exceptional deficits will diminish in some portions of South America, they will remain widespread throughout much of the Amazon Rainforest. Deficits will similarly endure in eastern and southern regions of Brazil, as well as in parts of the Bolivarian Nations.
The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits will persist throughout several regions of Brazil, as well as portions of the Bolivarian Nations. Isolated pockets of surplus will emerge in northern South American countries.