Exceptional surpluses will persist in northern regions of Mainland Southeast Asia. Most areas of Maritime Southeast Asia will observe near-normal conditions.
Severe to exceptional surpluses are expected to persist in several regions of India and emerge in Bangladesh. Some South Asian countries will observe isolated pockets of deficit.
Exceptional deficit anomalies will continue in southern regions of the Middle East, as well as in coastal regions of Turkey. Isolated pockets of exceptional deficit will also persist in Iran. Southwestern coastal areas of the Middle East will continue to observe moderate to severe surplus.
Exceptional deficits will remain in areas near Lake Baikal and in much of western Russia. Northern and southeastern Kazakhstan will observe continuing surpluses of varying intensity, as will some Russian areas near the Lena River.
The forecast through June indicates that water deficits in the Horn of Africa and around the Gulf of Guinea will shrink and downgrade but deficits in North Africa will increase and intensify. Intense surpluses are forecast in the Sahel. Other areas of surplus include Tanzania, Namibia, and Botswana.
The forecast through March 2021 indicates that water deficits will shrink and downgrade. Deficits in North Africa will be mild to moderate overall. Surpluses will continue in the eastern Sahel, but transitions will begin in the west. Surpluses will persist in East Africa and emerge in south-central Africa.
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