Widespread extreme to exceptional surpluses will dissipate in northern regions of Australia, as will exceptional deficits in several regions of the continent. Severe to extreme surpluses will persist in isolated regions of Western Australia and Northern Territory.
Exceptional deficits will remain widespread in several areas of the Canadian Shield and Atlantic regions. Exceptional surplus is anticipated in much of the Arctic Region.
Widespread deficits of varying intensity will occur in the southwest, northern, and northeastern states. Severe to extreme surpluses will remain in Florida, as well as in most noncontiguous states.
extreme to exceptional surpluses will persist in north-central and south-central regions of India. Exceptional surpluses are expected to emerge in eastern regions of the country, and in some areas of Nepal and Bangladesh. Extreme to exceptional deficits will expand in Afghanistan and Pakistan.
The forecast through November indicates that normal water conditions will return to much of Mexico but intense deficits will persist around the Gulf of Campeche. Extreme deficits are expected in southern Belize, moderate surpluses in Costa Rica, and intense surpluses in the Bahamas and central Cuba.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period from June 2019 through May 2020 include: Canada, Brazil, French Guiana, Chile, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Egypt, Libya, Qatar, and United Arab Emirates. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: the United States, Tanzania, India, Afghanistan, Bangladesh, and southeastern and northeastern China. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 9 September 2019
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